The Mavs scored 142 and 141 in the first two meetings with Golden State, winning each by at least 20. The Warriors have lost eight in a row, most recently losing by 20 at Memphis. Lay it.

The Warriors have been no match for the Mavericks this season. First, they lost by a whopping 48 points in Dallas. It wasn’t much better for them at home as the Mavericks posted a 20-point victory. Dallas has played well on the road, posting a 12-5 ATS record. Even if Kristaps Porzingis (knee) sits again, I like the Mavericks’ chances of covering the spread.