Ranger Suarez has a 3.02 ERA on the season, but it’s in the mid-2’s over the last two months, and he’s been better on the road than at Fenway. The Dodgers are rarely considered a “good matchup” for any opposing pitcher. But since the All-Star break, L.A. owns a .528 OPS vs. left-handers. Only the anemic Tigers have been worse. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are going the bullpen route. Their bullpen ERA since the break is at 5.11 – not on the same level as the Boston pen (1.57) that’s backing Suarez.

Why not take the Dodgers at a short moneyline price? Because it's so rare to even get them +1.5 at home that I'm jumping like Beefaroni is buy one, get two free. I actually went to play L.A. moneyline, I won't lie, and saw this +1.5 straggler among our books. Yes, I'm that OCD to pay the 70 cents for insurance. I do reserve the right to call this off if Shohei Ohtani is not in the lineup, but by all accounts he will be.

DraftKings / Caesar’s. This is a high line for Ranger Suarez. Despite acquitting himself well this season with a 3.02 ERA, the Red Sox lefty is under this line in 11/18 starts. What’s most intriguing is that he’s coming off a 64-pitch outing on the heels of a three-week injury absence - meaning he could be limited today. Even if not, he’ll face the patient Dodgers who should make life difficult for the southpaw.