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Sat, Jul 043:05 pm UTCNationals Park
87 F
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L49-47
ATS49-47
O/U55-38-3
FINAL SCORE
7
-
1
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L48-48
ATS57-39
O/U55-36-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
49-47
Win /Loss
48-48
49-47
Spread
57-39
55-38-3
Over / Under
55-36-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ WAS
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MONEYLINE
PIT @ WAS
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ WAS
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73%
PUBLIC
27%
MONEY
65%
PUBLIC
35%
MONEY
Over82%
PUBLIC
Under18%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsBraxton Ashcraft Over 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -130
WIN
Unit0.5
+409.5
20-10 Last 30 MLB Player Props
Angelo's Analysis:

This Washington Nationals lineup doesn’t strike out a ton, with just a 21% rate over the last month against righties, but they feature a bunch of lefties. Braxton Ashcraft has been far more successful in terms of strikeouts when facing left-handed batters and we continue to get 5.5 as his strikeout line so I’ll take the over. His curveball plays to a near 45% whiff rate against lefties and many of these Nationals hitters have struggled with the curveball. 7,8,9 Ks ladder for 1u.

Pick Made: Jul 04, 12:43 pm UTC on FanDuel
Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsBraxton Ashcraft Over 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+1942
40-17 Last 57 MLB Player Props
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel. Will break my “no overnight” rule on this one, but it’s for a pre-noon game as is. And it’s a great spot for Braxton Ashcraft, who is over this line in 11/17 starts, including 25 over his last three. The Nationals are very left-handed heavy, with six likely in the lineup. Ashcraft sees his strikeout rate jump to 32% against southpaws, paired with a 29% whiff rate. Washington has been striking out a bunch as is, with a 25% rate over the last two weeks. Look for Ashcraft to capitalize.

Pick Made: Jul 04, 3:39 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Sunday, Jul 12, 2026
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RP
Wilber Dotel
LatIl
Saturday, Jul 11, 2026
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SS
Konnor Griffin
FingerIl
Wednesday, Jul 08, 2026
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C
Endy Rodriguez
Lower BodyIl
Monday, Jul 06, 2026
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CF
Oneil Cruz
HandIl
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1B
Spencer Horwitz
HamstringIl
Sunday, Jul 05, 2026
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RP
Chris Devenski
IllnessIl
Saturday, Jul 04, 2026
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RP
Evan Sisk
ElbowIl
Washington Nationals
Sunday, Jul 12, 2026
Avatar
RP
Max Kranick
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jul 09, 2026
Avatar
RP
Brad Lord
SideIl
Monday, Jul 06, 2026
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SP
Jake Irvin
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, Jul 01, 2026
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RP
Mitchell Parker
ElbowIl
Monday, Jun 29, 2026
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SP
Trevor Williams
ElbowIl
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RP
Richard Lovelady
TricepsIl
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SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowIl
Monday, Jun 22, 2026
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P
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowIl
Monday, Jun 01, 2026
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SP
Ken Waldichuk
ElbowIl
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