Milwaukee's Jacob Misiorowski, a name I simply cannot type correctly until the third try, is so fun to watch, and I'm not really into the heat (or homers). But he's a lightning bolt. Only -129 to simply not win at the team with the second-best record in baseball? Yep. I have nightmares the Miz's arm rips off someday throwing so hard in a Texas Chainsaw Massacre-type deal (perhaps don't run toward the shed of chainsaws). Sadly, tonight isn't against Chris Sale like it was supposed to be, but I address that in my CBS Sports SGP on this game.

Martin Perez is a beast especially at home, a 1.67 ERA in seven starts. But his record is only 2-2. So we’ll side with Jacob Misiorowski. Over his last seven starts, The Miz is 6-0 with a hilarious 0.18 ERA. Over the last two weeks, Milwaukee owns a .925 road OPS and a .914 OPS vs. left-handers. He should get run support. Atlanta’s offense since Ronald Acuna going on the IL just isn’t the same. The Braves have lost five of six. The Brewers on the moneyline is hovering around -190 so there's real value here.