Byron Buxton is over this line in seven games in June, as he's a roll batting .340 with 17 hits across 13 games. Buxton has racked up six home runs in that time, and three doubles, for nine total extra base hits. Being he has a lower walk rate, and Jack Leiter walks righties at a lower clip, the total bases is a good alternative here if you can't get the hits, runs and rbi prop. Buxton over 1.5 Hits, Runs and RBI (-135) is a great play, but with all the recent extra base hits, I like the total bases at this price too. He had a home run and double off Leiter last year, so let's hope he doesn't pitch around him.

Reasonably fair price on Texas getting +1.5 at home as the Rangers try to avoid the sweep to a Twins team that is 15-21 away. Minnesota's Joe Ryan is the better pitcher in this matchup but his road splits much worse (3.60 ERA). Tough to trust inconsistent young Jack Leiter for the Rangers but Twins walk at a below-average rate while striking out at an above-average level so that may work right into the wild righty's wheelhouse. Leiter does have a 3.38 ERA in four day starts. We only need a one-run loss and the model has Texas winning slightly.