Marlins won the first two games of this series by a combined eight runs. Max Meyer has yet to lose a game this season but is off his worst start of the season, allowing five earned runs in six innings. Meyer does pitch his best at home but on the road, his ERA ballooned to a 4.78. The Marlins are also 6-1 SU in their last seven meetings against Washington. The Marlins are currently in the top-10 in OPS when facing lefties as they face Andrew Alvarez in his first start of the season, typically a bulk reliever. With how the line has moved in Washington’s favor, Nats avoid the sweep.

The Marlins have won the last four meetings against the Nationals and six of seven. Max Meyer allowed six runs in his last start, but in his two previous starts, he didn't allow any runs. Three of his last four starts have gone over. These are the two best over teams in baseball, with Washington No. 1 at 39-20-3 going over 66.1% of their games, while Miami is 38-21-3 to the over, which is 64.4% of their games. The wind is blowing in from centerfield at 8 mph. Over is the play today.