Ragans has been a totally different pitcher at home vs. on the road this season. At home, he's one earned run with 19 strikeouts in 12 innings. He gets Cleveland at home tonight. His line against the Guardians earlier this season looks ugly, but he struck out the first two batters he faced before taking a line drive off his pitching hand and then things unraveled, very likely due to a small injury. He's fine now. He's run past this number.

A little chilly with some winds blowing in a second night in a row at Kauffman Stadium. Some full-game totals are down to 7.5 so this seems fair -- I wouldn't play lower and it's the only 4.5 we have. Royals supposed ace Cole Ragans has been just massacred on the road in 2026 but has a 0.75 ERA in 12.0 home innings. He had good numbers vs. the Guardians last year. Cleveland has managed only six total runs in a three-game skid. Southpaw Joey Cantillo allowed one earned over 5.2 vs. KC on April 8 and if he does similar again, we should be golden.