This number should be 4.5 Ks for Taillon who I would still consider fading at plus money. Even in an above average matchup he’s not a strong strikeout artist and his underlying metrics back that up as well. …

The Cubs have won six straight, all but one of which has totaled 9+ runs. Only twice since April 21 has a Cubs game had under nine runs. Andrew Abbott had a 7.22 ERA in six April starts and faces a Cubs lineup with a .905 OPS vs. left-handers. Cubs starter Jameson Taillon has had issues keeping the ball in the park, and Cincy ranks fourth in homers.