The winds are blowing out about 10 mph at Wrigley today, so I expect the Cubbies to put up a crooked number against well-past-his-prime Nats starter Miles Mikolas. Leadoff hitter Michael Busch was terrific in the opening loss at 3-for-4 with two runs scored and a walk. He's more than capable of simply hitting one out in B1 to cash this immediately as Busch is 6-for-15 career with a walk (.438 OBP) and three homers off Mikolas. The model essentially gives Busch a 68% shot of scoring a run and that's about -213 on the moneyline so some value in that regard.

I should know better than to lay the home team -1.5 once again as I lost by the hook with the Orioles on Thursday. But I think the Cubs crush Miles Mikolas and a Nationals lineup that is among the least imposing on paper in baseball. Cade Horton should've won NL Rookie of the Year in 2025 and I think he keeps the Nats in check on Saturday. Chicago avenges Thursday's blowout home loss and scores at least seven runs in a big win.

PCA is 7 for 9 lifetime vs. Miles Mikolas with five home runs and 6 RBIs. With the wind blowing out at Wrigley Field and Chicago's new $115 million man hitting in the heart of the order, I expect the Cubs' centerfielder to drive in multiple runs on Saturday.