Backing Yoshinobu Yamamoto and a Dodgers team that won both games in Philly before coming home to LA. It's a much tougher task to go on the road and keep your season alive, and dropping back-to-back close games at home shouldn't give the Phils much confidence. Philly turns to Aaron Nola, a familiar foe for many in this Dodgers lineup, while the Phillies lineup is relatively inexperienced against Yamamoto. The Dodgers' ace has allowed just two earned runs in his last 33+ innings and the bullpen will be fully loaded behind him. I played -1 at -130 here but that's the same as splitting your bet between the moneyline and RL so I'm posting it this way. If they win by just one we'll push.

Instead of going with either of their two best starters, Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies owning a 6.97 road ERA. In his one outing against Los Angeles this season, he allowed three runs in seven innings. But the Dodgers are hitting .373 this postseason at home. Yoshinobu Yamamoto blanked this same lineup in early April but with their season on the line, you’d except Philadelphia best hitters to go out swinging. If they don’t, they could get to this Dodgers bullpen owning a 6.97 ERA these playoffs.

Will throw a half-unit down here to see if I can read Phils manager Rob Thomson's mind. It is generally accepted that he would like Aaron Nola to get through the lineup once and then potentially turn it over to lefty Ranger Suarez ... but if Nola's dominating, obviously he'd prefer to save Suarez for a possible Game 4. And if Nola is pitching well, you'd think he at least gets those nine outs.