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Tue, Sep 3010:08 pm UTCYankee Stadium
73 F
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L90-75
ATS86-79
O/U75-84-6
FINAL SCORE
3
-
1
New York
Yankees
NYY
Last 5 ML
W/L97-72
ATS79-89
O/U79-84-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
90-75
Win /Loss
97-72
86-79
Spread
79-89
75-84-6
Over / Under
79-84-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ NYY
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
BOS @ NYY
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ NYY
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

29%
PUBLIC
71%
MONEY
35%
PUBLIC
65%
MONEY
Over89%
PUBLIC
Under11%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineN.Y. Yankees -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1146
24-14 in Last 38 MLB Picks
+745
31-24 in Last 55 MLB ML Picks
+370
11-7 in Last 18 BOS ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

These are been two of the best offensive teams in the league when facing left-handers, but it’s a new season now. Max Fried owns a 2.37 home ERA and have faced Boston for 18.1 innings this season, allowing four earned runs. Garrett Crochet has pitched his best on the road, 2.25 ERA, but when facing the Yankees this season he’s allowed 10 earned runs and five home runs. Boston, statistically, has the better bullpen, but New York has been in better overall form ending the season while also winning seven of Fried’s last eight starts.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 6:10 pm UTC on Caesars
Money LineBoston +116
WIN
Unit1.0
+2295
182-174-4 in Last 360 MLB Picks
+1256
42-32 in Last 74 MLB ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Bosox starter Garrett Crochet is .a worrying prospecs for the Yankees in Game One of this highly-charged wild card matchup. The Sox have won the last seven starts made by Crochet, who twice in his last four starts didn't allow a run (Sept. 24 vs. Jays, Sept. 8 vs. A's). In his last two starts vs. the Bronx Bombers, the Bosox have also won as Crochet spun 15 1/3 innings of nine-hit, two-run ball, good for a 1.17 ERA Now, the Yanks have won the last six starts made by Max Fried, who won an MLB-best 19 games this season, so margins are tight here, but the Crochet factor looms large for the Sox whenever he takes the mound. Play Red Sox on Money Line

Pick Made: Sep 30, 5:15 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineN.Y. Yankees -135
LOSS
Unit1.0
+419
44-37-2 in Last 83 MLB Picks
+77
23-19 in Last 42 MLB ML Picks
+588
22-15 in Last 37 BOS ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Yankees lost eight of their first nine meetings with the Red Sox this season, but finished strong, winning three of their last four. They come in with an eight-game winning streak to close out the season. Everybody started hitting towards the end of the year, including Giancarlo Stanton, who had 17 RBIs in his last 12 games, and the team hit .281, the second-best in baseball. They also got some great pitching down the stretch by tonight's starter, Max Fried, who went 6-0 with a 1.55 ERA in his last seven starts. The wind is blowing in from left field at 10 mph, and I expect the two All-Star starters to push, but the Yankees bullpen wins it. Yankees to win.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 5:00 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
BasesCeddanne Rafaela Over 0.5 Total Bases -161
LOSS
Unit0.5
Zack's Analysis:

The top two pitchers in MLB in terms of wins are on the mound today for game one with Max Fried and Garrett Crochet. Pressure is on Fried to uphold the Yankees current eight game win streak. A player I expect to give Fried and the Yankees bullpen problems is Ceddanne Rafaela. Rafaela has had a hit in eight out of his last nine games, with four doubles. Take Rafaela over on his total bases prop.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 3:13 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
BasesPaul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Total Bases -177
LOSS
Unit1.0
Jake's Analysis:

You have to figure Paul Goldschmidt will start over Ben Rice given his experience and defensive advantage. Goldschmidt has notoriously been good against left-handed pitchers, but he has struggled over the last month plus. According to Katie Sharp, since August 7th Goldschmidt is just 7-48 with one extra base hit against LHPs. Goldschmidt is also just 2-15 with two singles in his career against Garrett Crochet. Goldschmidt is 17-3 on the under in his last 20 games.

Pick Made: Sep 30, 2:47 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
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SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowOut
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SP
Kutter Crawford
WristProbable
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1B
Triston Casas
KneeProbable
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SP
Patrick Sandoval
ElbowProbable
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SS
Vaughn Grissom
FootProbable
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P
Hunter Dobbins
KneeProbable
Sunday, Nov 02, 2025
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C
Connor Wong
HandProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
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RP
Jordan Hicks
ShoulderProbable
Monday, Oct 06, 2025
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C
Carlos Narvaez
KneeProbable
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
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C
Mark Kolozsvary
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
RP
Zach Fogell
UndisclosedIl
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3B
Andy Lugo
ThumbIl
New York Yankees
Friday, Nov 07, 2025
Avatar
SP
Gerrit Cole
ElbowOut
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LF
Oswaldo Cabrera
AnkleProbable
Avatar
SP
Clarke Schmidt
ElbowOut
Thursday, Oct 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Carlos Rodon
ElbowOut
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SS
Anthony Volpe
ShoulderOut
Thursday, Oct 09, 2025
Avatar
RP
Brent Headrick
ForearmProbable
Sunday, Oct 05, 2025
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RP
Eric Reyzelman
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, Oct 02, 2025
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SP
Chase Hampton
ElbowQuestionable
Wednesday, Oct 01, 2025
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RP
Edgar Barclay
UndisclosedIl
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RP
Luis Velasquez
UndisclosedIl
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RP
Kevin Stevens
UndisclosedIl
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