Zebby Matthews had a rough last outing, five runs in 4.2 innings in a loss to the Angels. New York struggled from the plate last night, zero runs with only two hits. The Yankees are home run or bust and they may be entering that territory down the stretch with an easy remaining schedule. Cam Schlittler has been in good form, allowing two runs, or less, in seven of his last eight starts.

Matt Wallner has hit 21 of his 22 home runs in games where the opposing starter is right-handed. He owns an .809 OPS in those games compared to just a .592 OPS when facing left-handed starters. Yankees' SP Cam Schlittler likely won't go more than 5 or 6 innings, and the Twins were able to get to the Yankees' bullpen yesterday. Wallner could have some favorable matchups depending on who the Yankees put in. We set Wallner's line at +370 to homer.

Jazz Chisholm is just 1 HR shy of a 30 HR–30 SB season. He's done most of his damage against right-handed pitching, with 25 of his 29 home runs and an .862 OPS coming in those matchups. Twins' starter Zebby Matthews has allowed left-handed batters to hit .290 with an .843 OPS. We set the line at +330 for Jazz to homer given these favorable left vs. right splits.

After the shellacking they took last night, this just feels like a bounce back spot for the Yankees. They've seen Zebby Matthews already this year, and he's struggled a bit more of late. Plus, the Twins righty is allowing a .290 average to lefties with seven HR and 14 walks in just 34 innings. The Yankees were always going to be hard pressed to win last night after flying from Boston to Minnesota late after Sunday Night Baseball, but I believe they'll be more prepared and bounce back tonight. Luke Weaver has also struggled and is likely getting the night off, while Bednar, Cruz and Williams have all been rested in the bullpen.

Cam Schlittler is sporting a 3.05 ERA against Minnesota's Zebby Matthews, who has a 5.06 ERA. Matthews has allowed a .308 batting average and .458 xwOBA against New York in 28 plate appearances. The Yankees hit three home runs off him earlier this season. Schlittler has excelled since July, with 63 strikeouts in 56 innings and a remarkable .169 xwOBA against Minnesota in 15 plate appearances. His advanced metrics highlight his elite performance, ranking in the 84th percentile in ERA and boasting a 13.6% swinging strike rate in the 85th percentile. The Yankees had a tough time in Monday's shutout loss, going 2-for-28, with batters three through five contributing a combined 0-for-12. I like the Yankees in this spot.