I had no plans to play another game today, but I'm really angry the Brewers, already without Jackson Chourio, sat Christian Yelich in a game vs. Arizona they had all the advantages otherwise. To be fair, it was on Jose Quintana why they lost (it's not over as of writing but not looking good) but I simply would not have played knowing Yelich was out. So I wouldn't really call this a chase but would I have played if up from the afternoon? Probably not. Miami pitcher Adam Mazur has made nine big-league appearances career (eight with San Diego in 2024) and has a 7.32 ERA.

On a light Thursday MLB card in the evening, the one team that figures to be attacked the most in the prop markets are the New York Mets. They’ve scored five or more runs in five out of their last six, and swept the Philadelphia Phillies. Juan Soto has actually went under his total bases in five straight games, and eight out of his last ten. He gets a couple of hits tonight against the Marlins and clears his total bases.

Are the Mets back in the NL East race? Maybe after sweeping the midweek set at Citi Field. The Mets have found some offense, pounding Phils pitchers for 25 runs in the three-game sweep. Across the past six games, it's 49 runs scored. Compare that to the Marlins, who could only score five runs across the entirety of the just-completed three-game set vs. the Braves. Clay Holmes (2.38 ERA last two starts) has pitched well enough lately to give the Mets a look minus the extra run, especially as recently-recalled Miami starter Adam Mazur was hit hard in his lone appearance earlier this season (four runs and five hits in 5 2/3 IP vs. the Phils on June 18). Play Mets on the Run Line.

Clay Holmes will be on one less day of rest here and we're finally getting a line other than the under with heavy juice on 15.5. The narrative has not shifted much though, as the Mets will continue to try to limit his innings but with being uber efficient last time out, and some great defensive plays, he was able to actually work into the 7th without issue. Not sure it's as easy here with less rest and coming off that deeper performance, but the Marlins do see the league's lowest number of pitches per plate appearance so there's always a bit of risk... Regardless he's over this line in just one start since June 7th, so I'll take the shot on fading.