This ongoing deference to the Yankees in the marketplace is hard to explain. Remember, the Bronx Bombers don't hit Arlington with any momentum after getting swept three by the Marlins in Miami. New York has also lost 17 of its last 22 on the road, and Monday starter Max Fried has cooled considerably after a fast start, reflected in his 5.54 ERA across five July starts. True, the Rangers didn't pick up any wild card ground this weekend on the Mariners, but Patrick Corbin has been pretty steady on the mound, as his 3.78 ERA would attest, and Texas has won 10 of its last 11 at Globe Life Field.. Play Rangers on Money Line

The New York Yankees are coming off being swept by the Miami Marlins, and are just 5-17 on the road since mid-June. That’s certainly on the Yankees mind even with their top ace Max Fried on the mound, who leads in MLB in wins. Texas has also shown winnings ways recently with Patrick Corbin on the mound, as they won four of his five July starts. Take the Rangers as the home underdog.

The Yankees' Max Fried is terrific but in five July starts, when he had a 5.54 ERA, he topped six innings once. That was last time out when Fried threw a season-high 111 pitches. I'd have to think then that Fried won't be allowed to get much north of 100 this time around. This is the time of year you start monitoring innings. The New York bullpen is in very good shape behind him because the Yanks fell behind big early on Sunday in Miami, so they just used two middle relief scrubs. The Rangers are competing for the postseason as well and are 8-1 since the break at home. This isn't my favorite play ever but fair price.

Patrick Corbin has been excellent over his last five starts with a sub 2.50 ERA and has racked up 28 strikeouts over his last 27 IP. While Corbin is turning back the clock, he is pitching above expectations and is a regression candidate. He will face a New York lineup that has been fairly stingy in the K department while sporting the 13th lowest K Rate over the last 30 days.