The Seattle Mariners have been a solo home run team, and lacked team continuity at the plate. Over their last nine games, they have totaled just twenty one runs. Run production may still be an issue tonight, but I do believe their team hitting will be up. Mitch Garver gets an opportunity tonight and has been consistent with hits in seven out of his last eight games. The unheralded bat, plays a big role tonight. Take Garver’s total bases over, and a home run.

The Seattle Mariners have been a solo home run team, and lacked team continuity at the plate. Over their last nine games, they have totaled just twenty one runs. Run production may still be an issue tonight, but I do believe their team hitting will be up. Mitch Garver gets an opportunity tonight and has been consistent with hits in seven out of his last eight games. The unheralded bat, plays a big role tonight. Take Garver’s total bases over, and a home run.

Not done well in player props thus far today and normally would just leave well enough alone. But when I saw Martin Maldonado go 2-for-2 in his first two at-bats today -- possibly for the first time in his history, I admit I laughed quite vociferously. Sums up the Demonic July. There is no way, folks, I am ending July player-props wise with a Martin Maldonado two-hit day loss. Can't do it. Won't do it. Seattle pitcher Bryan "The Woo Woo" Woo is terrific but winds are blowing out per usual in Sacramento so I struggle to see him going more than six. Woo has topped six once in his past six. He pitched in Sac-Town earlier this year and allowed five over six.

There's not much model value on Julio Rodríguez, but we're factoring in his second-half surge. After hitting just 1 HR in June, he's launched 7 in July and has 5 multi-hit games in his last 7. He's 3-for-9 with a home run in his career against Jeffrey Springs, who has allowed 20 HRs this season—17 of them to right-handed batters. We set Rodríguez's line at +405 to homer.

Bryan Woo is having a strong season for the Mariners and while I rarely play overs, this is a rare one that I like. You could make an argument that Woo is a positive regression candidate in the strikeout department and he gets a fantastic matchup against an As lineup that leads the MLB in K Rate over the last 30 days.