Just played the under 17.5 on Fanatics at -110. After a disappointing opening to the second half last night, the Mets now send Clay Holmes to the mound. He's already eclipsed 100 innings pitched through 19 starts after starting just four games in his MLB career previously. Holmes completed just 126 innings over the past two seasons so we are approaching the same number of innings in just one season and he's failed to complete six innings in a start since early June. After not using any of their main relievers last night, and needing to push for a win here, I'd be surprised if they use Holmes much past that 90 pitch mark we've seen him held to in recent starts.

Caesar’s / DraftKings. I like the pitching edge for the Mets today, who are 7-2 on the first five inning spread in Clay Holmes’ nine home starts. Holmes’ transition to the starting rotation this season has gone well, with the righty pitching to a 3.31 ERA, while maintaining an elite 55.6% ground ball rate (93rd percentile). The Reds struggle against ground ball pitchers, with a .656 team OPS. On the flip side, Nick Martinez has a 4.92 ERA as a starter this season, allowing at least four runs in each of his last three road starts.

Now that the second half is here, sounds like we will get the -1 option more often. Again, not every book offers it, but it's by far my favorite play in this sport and hockey. Yep, we will push sometimes and maybe here. Don't care. Now we get a bit better insurance and a much better price. The Mets looked horrible on Friday so I expect a lot more today. Cincy pitcher Nick Martinez is 2-5 with a 4.89 ERA away. New York hasn't lost a home start of Clay Holmes' since May 14.