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Thu, Jul 1011:45 pm UTCBusch Stadium
89 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L52-74
ATS63-63
O/U64-54-8
FINAL SCORE
1
-
8
St. Louis
Cardinals
STL
Last 5 ML
W/L64-65
ATS67-62
O/U65-58-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
52-74
Win /Loss
64-65
63-63
Spread
67-62
64-54-8
Over / Under
65-58-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
WAS @ STL
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MONEYLINE
WAS @ STL
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OVER / UNDER
WAS @ STL
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25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
26%
PUBLIC
74%
MONEY
Over79%
PUBLIC
Under21%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total RunsC.J. Abrams Over 0.5 Total Runs -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+493
7-2 in Last 9 MLB Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

DraftKings. CJ Abrams has been the catalyst for the upstart Nationals offense all season. Not only does he lead the team in runs (61), but he ranks 11th overall. And he’s been on a tear of late, scoring a run in 32 of his last 48 starts, which includes his latest run of touching home plate in 16 of his last 20 outings. Today, he’ll face off against Miles Mikolas, who he is 5/13 off of) including 2/3 earlier this year). Mikolas has been in poor form, with a 7.75 ERA over his last seven starts. With some hot bats behind him (James Wood, Nathaniel Lowe and Josh Bell), I love Abrams to score tonight. I have fair price on this closer to -130.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 7:07 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderOver 9 +100
PUSH
Unit1.0
+751
14-8 in Last 22 MLB Picks
+300
3-0 in Last 3 STL O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Miles Mikolas was obliterated by the Cubs on July 4 and has a 7.75 ERA in his last seven starts. On the other side, Michael Soroka has a 5.40 ERA and is very homer prone. It's hot and humid in St. Louis, too, so I'm expecting the ball to fly.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 4:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderOver 9 +102
PUSH
Unit1.0
+1049
24-13 in Last 37 MLB Picks
+63
4-3 in Last 7 MLB O/U Picks
+510
14-8-1 in Last 23 WAS O/U Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Cardinals had won five straight over the Nationals until MacKenzie Gore beat them 8-2 last night. The story of this game and why we're betting it is Michael Soroka, who allowed seven runs in his last start, and the Nationals have lost his last five starts. His last four starts have gotten way out of hand fast and easily gone over the total. Miles Mikolas has allowed 14 runs between his last two starts, both getting over. I think the best play in this game is the over.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 4:35 pm UTC on BetRivers
Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsMike Soroka Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+493
7-2 in Last 9 MLB Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

Bet365 at -125. Mike Soroka has failed to clear this outs line in eight of twelve starts, including six of seven on the road. Pitching to a 5.40 ERA, he’s struggled when facing lineups the third time through the order, allowing a 1.133 OPS. Facing a Cardinals team that’s produced an above average .752 OPS over the last two weeks against righties, I expect Soroka to once again fail to finish six innings.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 1:30 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsMiles Mikolas Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -120
WIN
Unit1.5
+87.5
15-13 in Last 28 MLB Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

Miles Mikolas got rocked in his last outing where he surrendered 6 home runs and a whopping 8 ER. He also threw 103 pitches which is his highest pitch count since August of 2023. He’ll face a surging Nationals lineup that have a top 10 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 9:16 am UTC on DraftKings

Best Prop Picks

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115 Total Player Props ProjectionPicks for J. Wood, P. DeJong, Y. Pozo, V. Scott II and 111 more players!

Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals
Wednesday, Aug 20, 2025
Avatar
C
Keibert Ruiz
ConcussionIl
Tuesday, Aug 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jul 31, 2025
Avatar
RP
Derek Law
ForearmIl
Monday, Jul 21, 2025
Avatar
SP
Trevor Williams
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowIl
St. Louis Cardinals
Wednesday, Aug 20, 2025
Avatar
3B
Nolan Arenado
ShoulderIl
Monday, Aug 18, 2025
Avatar
RP
John King
ObliqueIl
Avatar
2B
Brendan Donovan
GroinIl
Sunday, Aug 17, 2025
Avatar
CF
Victor Scott II
AnkleIl
Saturday, Aug 16, 2025
Avatar
3B
Jacob Buchberger
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Aug 05, 2025
Avatar
RP
Zack Thompson
LatIl
Sunday, Jun 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Victor Santos
UndisclosedIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
38-54, -526
50-43, +421
53%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
43%
20-26, +79
28-17, +824
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
35-41, +555
22-17, -126
56%
When Line was +106 to +136
MONEY LINE
When Line was -159 to -129
54%
13-11, +462
10-6, +122
62%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
42%
18-24, +121
14-9, +75
60%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
36%
11-19, -476
16-11, +277
59%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
40%
22-33, -588
27-15, +817
64%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
37%
24-40, -758
31-35, -451
47%
vs STL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
20%
1-4, -280
4-1, +241
80%
when Mike Soroka starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Miles Mikolas starts
25%
3-9, -493
8-9, -109
47%
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