FanDuel. Taj Bradley has remained under this strikeout line in eleven of eighteen starts this season, including each of his last six. With only 84 punchouts in 97.2 innings, Bradley’s 20.3% K% has him in the 38th percentile of all pitchers. He also, very notably, has maintained a sub-20% strikeout rate when he pitches outside, each of the last two seasons. Bradley will face the scorching hot Red Sox lineup today. Boston is only striking out 18% of the time against righties over the last two weeks, while putting up a ridiculous 1.005 OPS.

The Red Sox have been the hottest hitting team in baseball over the last two weeks, hitting .327, when the second hottest team is the Blue Jays, hitting .276. The Red Sox have won eight of their last nine games to move to 49-45 on the season, 28-20 at home, and they're almost at even money profit margin for the season at -59. The Red Sox have gone over six straight and eight of their last nine games. Taj Bradley has given up 20 runs between his last five starts, while Walker Buehler has been all over the place with the Red Sox losing three of his last four starts and allowing 20 runs. Over looks like the best play in this spot.

Jonathan Aranda is swinging a hot bat, going 9-for-17 (.529) with a home run over his last 4 games. He's 2-for-4 in his career against Walker Buehler with a home run and a single. Buehler has struggled against left-handed hitters this season, allowing a .333 average and a .904 OPS. Aranda, meanwhile, has a .944 OPS against right-handed pitchers. With favorable splits and recent form, we set Aranda's line at +460 to homer.