Wilyer Abreu is swinging a hot bat with 4 multi-hit games and 4 home runs over his last 7 games played. He's up to 17 home runs on the season—16 of them against right-handed pitchers. Rockies SP Antonio Senzatela leads the league in both hits allowed and losses (12), making him highly susceptible to hard contact. With Abreu's current form and favorable matchup, we set his line at +320 to homer.

Very happy to have pitcher to win props now, and I basically consider this a First 5 play -- and you probably have to play -1.5 on the F5 spread to get a decent price. Certainly could see Boston's Lucas Giolito going deeper against a bad lineup, and in fact he has gone at least six innings in five straight outings -- all quality starts. He looks back to the prime White Sox version of Lucas Giolito. I certainly expect him to leave tonight with a lead. Colorado's Antonio Senzatela (3-12, 6.57 ERA) leads the majors in losses, and the Rox have been pounded in both games of the series thus far.