Chris Bassitt owns a 2.78 career ERA versus the White Sox, and current White Sox own a collective .578 OPS against him. I like Bassitt to pitch well like he did when he faced Chicago on June 22 (6 innings, 1 run). White Sox starter Aaron Civale has a career-low K rate of 17.3 percent and is backed by a poor defense. He's giving up a career-worst expected slugging percentage of .465. I bet the Jays on the run line in the first five innings.

The Blue Jays won their 9th consecutive game last night against the White Sox, and they were all over Sean Burke, who's a good pitcher, but he wasn't fooling many Blue Jays, who made loud outs when they weren't scoring. They only had eight hits in the game but none of them were from baseball's hottest hitter, George Springer, who went 0-for-5. Chris Bassitt lost to the White Sox in June, giving up only one earned run, but that Blue Jays team was not in sync like this one. If he gives a similar performance, the Blue Jays roll. Aaron Civale gave up five runs in five innings pitched in his last start. The first-place Blue Jays get the cover on the run line.