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Tue, Jun 241:40 am UTCPetco Park
63 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Washington
Nationals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L53-79
ATS65-67
O/U66-57-9
FINAL SCORE
10
-
6
San Diego
Padres
SD
Last 5 ML
W/L75-59
ATS76-58
O/U56-73-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
53-79
Win /Loss
75-59
65-67
Spread
76-58
66-57-9
Over / Under
56-73-5
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
WAS @ SD
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MONEYLINE
WAS @ SD
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OVER / UNDER
WAS @ SD
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12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
12%
PUBLIC
88%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsMitchell Parker Under 16.5 Total Pitcher Outs -125
LOSS
Unit1.0
+653
12-5 in Last 17 MLB Player Props Picks
Prop's Analysis:

FanDuel at -120. Mitchell Parker has really struggled of late. Over his last ten starts, he’s failed to clear this line eight times, and has an ERA of 6.75 with a hard hit rate of 40% (the latter is 18th highest of 279 pitchers in that span). While the Padres have struggled against lefties of late, this is a nice spot against the soft-throwing Parker, who they shelled last season.

Pick Made: Jun 23, 11:09 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsMitchell Parker Under 16.5 Total Pitcher Outs -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+76
8-7 in Last 15 MLB Player Props Picks
Larry's Analysis:

Nationals lefty Mitchell Parker is allowing a ridiculous 50 percent hard-hit rate, and he has not thrown more than 87 pitches in seven straight starts. In limited at-bats, the Padres own a collective .931 OPS against Parker. Jackson Merrill has returned, making the San Diego lineup tougher to navigate. Look for Parker to stay Under this prop total for the ninth time in his last 11 starts.

Pick Made: Jun 23, 8:27 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LineSan Diego -158
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1190
21-11 in Last 32 MLB ML Picks
+654
40-21 in Last 61 WAS ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The Dads have lost three straight starts of Stephen Kolek (3-2, 3.59), but I still think this number is a good 30 cents low. San Diego got Jackson Merrill back off the IL yesterday and proceeded to win for the third time in four games. The Washington bullpen imploded yesterday in a blowout loss at the Dodgers. Tonight's starting pitcher Mitchell Parker is 0-4 with a 5.93 ERA away. Merrill is 2-for-2 off him.

Pick Made: Jun 23, 12:38 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Washington Nationals
Wednesday, Aug 27, 2025
Avatar
C
Keibert Ruiz
ConcussionIl
Avatar
C
Drew Millas
FingerQuestionable
Avatar
RF
Daylen Lile
IllnessQuestionable
Friday, Aug 22, 2025
Avatar
SP
Trevor Williams
ElbowIl
Tuesday, Aug 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Josiah Gray
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jul 31, 2025
Avatar
RP
Derek Law
ForearmIl
Wednesday, Apr 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Davidjohn Herz
ElbowIl
San Diego Padres
Monday, Aug 25, 2025
Avatar
SP
Michael King
KneeIl
Saturday, Aug 23, 2025
Avatar
CF
Jackson Merrill
AnkleIl
Thursday, Aug 21, 2025
Avatar
RP
Carter Loewen
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, Aug 09, 2025
Avatar
SP
Joe Musgrove
ElbowIl
Thursday, Jul 31, 2025
Avatar
SP
Jhony Brito
ForearmIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
41%
32-46, -458
42-35, +311
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
16-22, -45
23-13, +328
63%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
29-34, +523
24-15, +19
61%
When Line was +133 to +163
MONEY LINE
When Line was -193 to -163
48%
12-13, +490
7-2, +189
77%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
41%
14-20, -3
20-9, +390
69%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win <46% of Games
42%
15-20, +139
20-7, +662
74%
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
42%
8-11, +8
23-21, -278
52%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
37%
21-35, -638
31-22, +833
58%
vs SD
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
0%
0-0, 0
0-0, 0
0%
when Mitchell Parker starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Stephen Kolek starts
46%
7-8, +56
4-5, -158
44%
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