Despite an average below .200 against left handed pitchers, Gunnar Henderson has found previous extra-base hit success against Tyler Anderson. The Angels' lefty has also allowed a .280 average against left handed hitters and Henderson is due for some positive regression in my opinion vs. southpaws. Projecting closer to 2.5 total bases here today, I've got to take a shot.

Again, I hate to double-down on the same game, but this 5.5 is an outlier number among our books, which all have 5s or 4.5s, so gotta do it. That's where we have done well this year -- outlier numbers. Certainly worked last night on these two clubs and there appear to be better starting pitchers tonight (already on Orioles ML) in the Angels' Tyler Anderson (3.99 ERA) and Birds' Tomo "Mr. Roboto" Sugano (3.23). Winds are blowing in a little at Camden Yards with a possibility of rain but seems like they will get it in.

The O's cashed twice for us Friday. It's nice betting them again as they were a cash cow the past few years at Camden Yards but obviously hadn't been much in 2025 until recently. And as I said Friday, I do think they are turning the corner. Probably too late for this year, though. While the rotation is still sorry and should get GM Mike Elias fired, he at least did hit (so far) on Japanese free-agent Tomo Sugano (3.23 ERA). I like to call him "Mr. Roboto" because how can you go wrong with a Styx song? Any 80s/90s band with a random x in their name is obviously awesome.

The O's are 4-15 vs LHP and Tyler Anderson allowed just 1 ER in 5 IP in a Halos win vs them earlier this season. The O's are a bottom 5 team in home winning percentage over the last calendar year (MLB 9-23 on the RL at home if you prefer to go that way here). They have a .550 OPS vs LHP (almost unfathomable) and are also 30th in SLG vs LHP. Tomo Sugano is a command merchant with a penchant for giving up the longball and summer weather is finally here in Baltimore. He's allowed 7 HR in 34 1/3 at home; that could be a problem Sat afternoon. Halos have been hot lately and it's a fairly deep lineup now.