Cleveland has lost nine of their last 14 games while the Reds are one game over .500 at 34-33 and ride a four-game win streak. Andrew Abbott is the reason I am betting the Reds today. He's been on it all season, with the Reds winning seven of his 10 starts. He had gone six straight starts of allowing one run or less until allowing five runs against the Brewers in his last start. Last month, he beat Cleveland by allowing no runs in five innings in a 3-1 Reds win. Reds win again.

Slade Cecconi’s most common opponent in his young career has been the Cincinnati Reds. Today will mark his fifth career start against Cincinnati, and on May 17th he matched a career high with eight strikeouts on the Reds. Additionally, we are getting a cheaper price then when Cecconi and the Guardians were -120 road favorites at Cincinnati. A bit of over valuing Andrew Abbott’s incredible month of May. Take the Guardians to get a bit of revenge on their old manager Terry Francona.

The Guardians are now 4-12 vs LHP and they really struggle against them at home with a 29.2 K rate (4th-worst in MLB) and weak .582 OPS. They couldn't hit soft-tossing Wade Miley from the left side Mon. The Reds 6-2-2 on the first 5 ML in Abbott's starts and they led CLE after 5 last time he faced them. Abbott has a 2.05 ERA on the road with 31 Ks inn 22 IP.