The first two games of the series went under the total. Both of these teams are in the bottom six in the league in runs per game and Toronto is only hitting .235 on the road thus far. Tyle Mahle owns a 0.95 home ERA and has only allowed three runs in a game in one of his 11 starts this season. The Rangers offensive struggles have continued against lefties all year, hitting .212 with a .602 OPS. The last four meetings between these two have gone under in each game.

The Blue Jays and Rangers have stayed under the total in four straight meetings, and the Rangers lead MLB with 38 unders, six more than the second most. They've gone under more than twice as much as they've got over. Tyler Mahle has stayed under seven of his last eight starts, with only 11 runs allowed in his last 10 starts. They’ve got the perfect under combination of hitters producing only 3.3 runs a game, great starting pitching, and Bruce Bochy managing it all. This game stays under.

We played Texas in part for two reasons on Tuesday: Pitcher Nathan Eovaldi and the chance that All-Star shortstop Corey Seager was activated off the IL. Sometimes, it's better to be lucky than good as Eovaldi lasted only two innings before leaving with a possible injury and Seager was not activated -- but will be today. Journeyman Tyler Mahle starts on the mound, and he has been incredible overall with a 1.80 ERA and especially at home (4-1, 0.95 ERA). Absolutely won't maintain those numbers all year, but hopefully for one more start. It's the end of a long trip for the Jays, so a natural trap spot. Looks like a bullpen day for them.