Kodai Senga has gone over 5.5 strikeouts in two of his last three starts and faces a Red Sox lineup that ranks third in strikeouts against right-handed pitchers. While he's only 3-5 on this line for the season, similar strikeout pitchers have gone 5-1 on this prop in recent matchups against Boston. With a projection of 6.1 strikeouts, this is a solid value play.

Kodai Senga has a 1.17 ERA in the first 5 innings of ballgames, best in MLB. I don't trust the Sox starter at all and he has been pounded in 2 of his last 3 starts. Mets have won 5 of Senga's last 7 starts and know they need to pick up the pace on the road.

FanDuel. Kodai Senga has only cleared this line three times in eight starts. However, some of that was due to a slower ramp up of his pitch count (under 90 in each of his first four starts), and five of his starts were against teams in the bottom eight of strikeout rate against righties. The Red Sox have the sixth highest strikeout rate against right-handers, and the second highest swinging strike rate overall. One added element that should play to our favor: only three Sox hitters have faced Senga (back in 2023). Senga’s ghost forkball is such a unique pitch, he has a decided advantage with it the first time facing hitters.