Cleveland has been struggling offensively of late. They’re hitting .182 over the last seven days and five of their last six games have gone under nine runs. The Reds have continued to have difficulty hitting at home, .231 average as a team. Brady Singer is off his worst outing of the season, allowing seven earned runs in 2.1 innings on the road in Houston but has a favorable match against this Guardians lineup of late, despite their lineup having a good history against him.

Tanner Bibee has struggled against the heart of opposing lineups, allowing a slugging percentage of .707 to the 2-3-4 hitters this season. Elly De La Cruz has performed significantly better at Great American Ballpark with a .296 batting average and a .543 slugging percentage compared to his performance on the road, where he has a .221 batting average and a .326 slugging percentage. The Guardians' bullpen has allowed the fifth most hits (166) this season, and the Reds' home park is ranked 13th in hits allowed and first in home runs. Cleveland has allowed the fifth most stolen bases this season, yet De La Cruz hasn't attempted a stolen base in the last eight games. He is ranked in the 89th percentile in sprint speed.

Tanner Bibee has struggled against the heart of opposing lineups, allowing a slugging percentage of .707 to the 2-3-4 hitters this season. Elly De La Cruz has performed significantly better at Great American Ballpark with a .296 batting average and a .543 slugging percentage compared to his performance on the road, where he has a .221 batting average and a .326 slugging percentage. The Guardians' bullpen has allowed the fifth most hits (166) this season, and the Reds' home park is ranked 13th in hits allowed and first in home runs. Cleveland has allowed the fifth most stolen bases this season, yet De La Cruz hasn't attempted a stolen base in the last eight games. He is ranked in the 89th percentile in sprint speed.

The Reds avoided the sweep by the White Sox and have lost nine of their last 12 games heading into today's game against Ohio rival Cleveland. Cleveland has won four of the last five meetings, and all five have stayed under. The Reds start Brady Singer, who started the season winning his first three games but has allowed 11 runs in his last two starts. Even when Singer gives the appearance of pitching well, the hitters don't show up, as the Reds have been shut out two of his last three starts. Tanner Bibee has been stingy in his last four starts, only allowing six runs, with Cleveland winning three of those games. Cleveland to win.

Tanner Bibee has failed to go over this number in his last two starts, but I like the matchup for him against a Reds offense that strikes out frequently.