The Angels have played respectably over their last 10 games, winning five, and I bet them plus 1.5 runs in this rubber game in San Diego. Padres starter Randy Vasquez has an ERA of 3.76, but his expected ERA is 5.97. Vasquez rarely gets strikeouts -- he has 18 in 38.1 innings -- and he's been very fortunate thus far.

DraftKings / BetMGM / B365. Betting this for 1.2u. This is a high line for Kyle Hendricks, who hasn’t pitched into the sixth inning in five of his seven starts. He’ll face a hot Padres lineup - San Diego has a 139 wRC+ and .838 OPS versus righties over the last two weeks. He’s also pitching for the second time on four days rest all season - the first, he was limited to 79 pitches.

This has been a better series than expected, as the Angels have been putting up a decent fight at Petco Park, but bullpen issues resurfaced in last night's 6-4 loss when Fernando Tatis took Kenley Jansen deep in the 9th inning for a walk-off homer. Mike Shildt has some questions about his own relief corps lately though he has been able to get improving efforts from Wednesday starter Randy Vasquez, who has a 2.45 ERA in two May starts and worked a season-high six innings while picking up the win on Friday at Denver. Kyle Hendricks is also pitching better in May (2.84 ERA in two outings) but note the Halos have lost four of his last five starts. Play Padres on Run Line.

Very tough series for the Friars thus far, but I can't see a sweep here and Manny Machado comes up big in these spots. He's been hitting the ball quite well and Kyle Hendricks has ben awful, with a 5.30 ERA and sagging pen behind him. Machado is 9/20 vs. Hendricks with a .950 OPS. Too many legit hitters in this lineup to keep them down. Manny has 10 RBIs in his last 15 games.

The Halos came back to beat the Padres on Monday. And Padres pen has some issues. But I expect their lineup to pound Kyle Hendricks here. And the Angels bullpen stinks too. So there's that. Angels are 7-14 on the RL on the road.