The Chisox have some promising arms like Jonathan Cannon, with a 3.00 ERA in two previous May starts and pitching into the seventh inning of his last four outings. The problem remains run support, as the Pale Hose just don't score very often; their 139 runs in 41 games is bottom of the AL. Moreover, that lack of punch has contributed mightily to an AL-worst 3-17 mark on the road. As for the Reds, their inconsistencies at the plate are well-documented, sandwiching a pair of shutout losses on the weekend at Houston around a 13-run eruption, but at least expecting Andrew Abbott and his 2,25 ERA to keep the Sox in check before the bullpen takes over. Play Reds on Run Line

FanDuel. Andrew Abbott has acquitted himself well to start his season, pitching to a 2.25 ERA (2.63 xERA). He’s struck out 31 batters across 24 innings (five starts, however two were truncated), while flashing higher usage and more whiffs on his changeup. He now gets the White Sox, who’ve allowed six of the last nine lefties to clear this line. And as a team, they strike out 24% of the time against southpaws, while producing a poor .594 OPS. There is some rain in the forecast in Cincinnati, but I do think they’ll be able to play nine uninterrupted innings.

Despite a rough season at the plate (.186 average), Luis Robert is in a favorable matchup against lefty Andrew Abbott. Robert has an .863 OPS against left-handed pitching this year, compared to just .534 against righties. Abbott has allowed 39 of his 44 career home runs to right-handed hitters, who also post an OPS nearly 200 points better than lefties do against him. With this platoon advantage and Abbott's vulnerability, Robert's +400 odds are enticing, especially since we set the line for Robert to homer below +300 (+295).

The Reds are in a prime bounce-back spot at home with Andrew Abbott on the mound. Abbott hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts and performs better at home, where the Reds are 9-5 in his outings since last season. The White Sox, meanwhile, are just 1-6 in games started by Jonathan Cannon and 0-4 in his road starts. While the Reds have struggled recently (2-8 in their last 10), they're still competitive at 20-22 and face a White Sox team that's just 3-17 on the road. The current line undervalues Cincinnati, which we would set closer to -250.

Note that rain is in the forecast, but that seems to be the case for a lot of games tonight, and they think they get this in even if starts a bit late -- shoot, it even rained in South Florida yesterday for the first time in 4 months it felt like. Winds are blowing in slightly at GABP and it's not warm at all. Good pitching night it would seem. The White Sox can't hit much and especially lefties .594 OPS) and face a good one in Andrew Abbott (2.25 ERA). The Reds have a home OPS of just .658 (25th in MLB). Sox pitcher Jonathan Cannon has allowed exactly two ER over six in B2B starts -- and Cincy hasn't seen him.

The Pale Hose have a .594 OPS vs lefties (28th in MLB) with just 5 HR all season. The White Sox are 4-7 vs Southpaws. Andrew Abbott has been very good and, small sample size, but has a 1.00 ERA at home. Abbott doesn't put people on base and the Pale Hose are 3-17 on the road. Good value here for me.