The Tampa Bay Rays go into Sunday’s series finale against the San Diego Padres on a four game winning streak. San Diego began the series 12-1 at home on the year, and have already doubled their home losses on the year. The losses have been attributed to the Padres struggles at the plate where they have totaled just one run over their last three games. Take the Rays to finally win with Zack Little on the mound as a slight road underdog.

Even with the Padres slumping sans Luis Arraez, they should not be getting +1.5 at home Sunday against awful Rays starter Zack Littell (0-5, 5.28). Manny Machado has excellent career splits off him. It's a natural letdown spot for the Rays anyways to concludes a West Coast trip. Their bullpen is taxed with every victory in this four game-winning streak close. Padres starting pitcher Randy Vasquez has allowed one earned run in 11 home innings this season.

The Rays have had a bastardizing schedule from games being moved to a AA stadium, and have barely been on the road, where I suspect their weak lineup will suffer. Especially in ballparks like this with the Padres running a decent starter out there. Rays are 0-5 in Zack Littell's 5 starts, scoring a grand total of 5 runs. In a very limited sample size, Friars key bats have nice splits vs him. Padres are 12-2 at home, where they are built for this park and get pretty rabid support.