Tomoyuki Sugano (3.43 ERA) has pitched better than most in the Orioles' rotation, but like last night, this price is still out of line and reflective of a year ago when the Birds were a playoff team. They're not playing like one yet, with a rotation ERA of near 6, and entering tonight at 9-13 after last night's 7-0 loss down I-95 in D.C. For those who are counting, that's also 31-2 that the O's have been outscored their last two games. Meanwhile, Trevor Williams (5.95 ERA), has been one of he softer spots in the Nats' rotation, but Washington is always primed for these Beltway battles, and the staff has allowed only five runs across the past three games. Play Nats on Money Line.

The Orioles aren't very good but everyone hits Trevor Williams. The league is batting .325 off him. Most importantly, he gives up heavy flyball contact and already 3 HRs' that's the only way the O's score and they only hit righties. Tomo Sugano pitches scared quite a bit and while the Nats lineup tends to swing and miss too much, this guy misses no bats. The Nats' pen is the worst in MLB. Would expect the Orioles to try to bounce back from another humiliating night at the plate.