The Toronto Blue Jays Bowden Francis has been excellent on the season on minimizing runs. He has allowed three runs or less in each of his first three starts, and three of his four home runs allowed on the season have been solo shots. Expect the Blue Jays to keep his work load around five innings, to avoid the sixth inning troubles his has shown. Additionally, the Mariners are coming off an extra inning game yesterday against the Reds. Take Toronto.

The Jays re 15-4 on the run line, best in MLB, and they are starting an emerging young starter (who the manager left in the game too long last time out) at a time when Vlad Guerrero is starting to heat up vs an M's lineup that has issues. The Mariners don't exactly make a habit out of beating teams by multiple runs. Jays are 7-3 at home and Mariners have barely had to travel yet and are just 2-4 on the road. Having George Springer and Vladdy going at the same time will be huge for Toronto.

I loved the Reds +1.5 today around this price at home vs. Seattle, and somehow they didn't cover leading 7-5 in the ninth inning. I try not to take losses like that too seriously, but I definitely broke a small cat figurine of my wife's that I didn't like anyways and don't understand how it's the SAME issue every year for Cincinnati almost since the Nasty Boys: Bullpen. Why I like Toronto here is that Seattle's very good pen is completely blown out after back-to-back close wins in Ohio. And I might like the Jays, who were off Thursday, anyways behind rising Bowden Francis. Somewhat out of nowhere, he has been pretty good overall but spectacular at home since about last August.