Draftkings has this (-105): I think the number should be at 15.5 at best here. This will be Spencer Strider's first MLB start in over a year and he's thrown 75 and 90 pitches in his two most recent rehab outings, getting through 5.1 innings in each. The Braves have an off day tomorrow and the bullpen has been used sparingly in this series, so there doesn't seem a need to push Strider to the limit in this one. *Mentioned on Early Edge this morning

FanDuel. Chris Bassitt has looked good to start the season - he’s cleared this line in two of his three starts, pitching to a 0.98 ERA, with 21 strikeouts in 18.1 innings. He now gets the Braves, who own the third highest strikeout rate versus righties (25.6%). It’s a weaker lineup too, without Marcell Ozuna, and the Braves have struggled on this road trip as is, allowing each of the four right-handed starters they’ve faced to clear this line.

You know, I understand why the Braves are favored with former ace Spencer Strider set to make his first big-league start since April 2024 off TJS. But clearly he will be on a pitch count. And it's not like Jays counterpart Chris Bassitt is a clown at 1-0 with a 0.98 ERA in three starts. Surprised we are getting Toronto so cheap +1.5 at home, that's for sure. These aren't the 2023 Braves with Strider at his peak and Ronald Acuna Jr. atop the lineup.