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Fri, Mar 2811:10 pm UTCloanDepot park
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L71-91
ATS88-74
O/U64-92-6
FINAL SCORE
4
-
3
Miami
Marlins
MIA
Last 5 ML
W/L79-83
ATS95-67
O/U79-79-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
71-91
Win /Loss
79-83
88-74
Spread
95-67
64-92-6
Over / Under
79-79-4
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ MIA
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
PIT @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ MIA
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87%
PUBLIC
13%
MONEY
82%
PUBLIC
18%
MONEY
Over99%
PUBLIC
Under1%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Outs RecordedConnor Gillispie Over 14.5 Total Pitcher Outs -130
WIN
Unit0.5
Matt's Analysis:

It's the first MLB start in the career of Marlins righty Connor Gillispie, who made three relief appearances last year for Cleveland in his MLB debut. While not always, I will generally play a pitcher Over 14.5 outs. The Pirates aren't very good at the plate, haven't seen him before, and Gillispie went 4.1 strong in his final spring start. He was stellar in all of the Grapefruit League. If it's at all possible, Marlins manager Clayton McCullough you would think would allow Gillispie to try and earn his first big-league win barring of course getting shelled (not too worried about that) or too many pitches (moderately worried about that). Our model has him at 5.1 innings. 5 is fine.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 2:27 pm UTC on DraftKings
Avatar
Pitcher StrikeoutsMitch Keller Under 5.5 Total Pitcher Strikeouts -125
WIN
Unit1.0
+192
4-2 in Last 6 MLB Player Props Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Fading a 6th strikeout here at -125. This line should be -145.

Pick Made: Mar 28, 12:57 pm UTC on DraftKings
Money LinePittsburgh -130
WIN
Unit1.0
+84
4-3 in Last 7 MLB Picks
+461
9-4 in Last 13 PIT ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Pirates have their issues, for sure, but the Marlins very well could be the NL's version of the '24 Chi Sox. It's looking incredibly bleak and starting Conner Gillispie in Game 2 is quite a choice. I saw plenty of him as an Orioles farmhand. Again, quite a choice. Mitch Keller is more than solid for the Pirates and had a nice spring. I will be fading these Marlins religiously early and expect Vegas will have +2.5 showing up in these Fish lines by late April. The Marlins are dealing with some injuries to an already threadbare roster.

Pick Made: Mar 27, 7:48 pm UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Tuesday, Nov 18, 2025
Avatar
SS
Jack Brannigan
ShoulderProbable
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
Avatar
C
Endy Rodriguez
ElbowProbable
Avatar
SP
Jared Jones
ElbowQuestionable
Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Avatar
OF
Billy Cook
HandProbable
Miami Marlins
Sunday, Nov 30, 2025
Avatar
SP
Max Meyer
HipProbable
Tuesday, Nov 11, 2025
Avatar
SP
Braxton Garrett
ElbowProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
CF
Dane Myers
KneeProbable
Avatar
P
Ryan Gusto
ShoulderProbable
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