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Sun, Aug 255:35 pm UTCFenway Park
73 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Arizona
Diamondbacks
ARI
Last 5 ML
W/L88-73
ATS82-79
O/U92-63-6
FINAL SCORE
7
-
5
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L81-80
ATS74-87
O/U80-73-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
88-73
Win /Loss
81-80
82-79
Spread
74-87
92-63-6
Over / Under
80-73-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
ARI @ BOS
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MONEYLINE
ARI @ BOS
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OVER / UNDER
ARI @ BOS
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38%
PUBLIC
62%
MONEY
30%
PUBLIC
70%
MONEY
Over72%
PUBLIC
Under28%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsMerrill Kelly Over 15.5 Total Pitcher Outs -115
WIN
Unit0.5
+1219.25
106-79 in Last 185 MLB Player Props Picks
Angelo's Analysis:

Merrill Kelly threw 96 pitches last time and 85 pitches before that, in two starts since coming off the IL. With those pitch counts, he should have enough in the tank to get deeper into this game as long as he avoids a blow up. Box scores don't tell the full story, as a 25 pitch 5th inning should have sunk him last time, but he returned for the 6th inning before being pulled after walking the first two batters. Manager Torey Lovullo giving Kelly the 6th inning is encouraging, and barring a super inefficient run again, Kelly should have an opportunity to pitch in the 6th. Not an outstanding matchup but he's been better vs. lefties and Boston has six in the lineup today.

Pick Made: Aug 25, 4:49 pm UTC on DraftKings
Over / UnderUnder 10 -116
LOSS
Unit0.5
+689.5
51-34-4 in Last 89 MLB O/U Picks
+416.75
12-8 in Last 20 ARI O/U Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Playing Under 10 on this matchup didn't work but if there's any wind today at Fenway, it's blowing in slightly. And the teams only totaled five runs last night. Two quality right-handers on the mound here in Merrill Kelly and Tanner Houck. No Lourdes Gurriel for Arizona -- tempted to play Red Sox ML to avoid the sweep and still might.

Pick Made: Aug 25, 2:55 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineArizona +122
WIN
Unit1.0
+1708
63-43-2 in Last 108 MLB Picks
+634
20-14 in Last 34 MLB ML Picks
+669
28-20 in Last 48 BOS ML Picks
Micah's Analysis:

The Diamondbacks go for the sweep at Fenway Park where they love it. 73-56 and they keep climbing up the ladder, they're catching the Dodgers. Today they will have to help out Merrill Kelly who's making his third start since he came back. His last start didn't go so well giving up six runs Tampa Bay. His first start back went well beating Philadelphia. But this is going to close out a series, it's going to be a great finale to a road trip. Kelly faced the Red Sox last year and allowed one run in 6.1 innings in a 4-2 win. I think anytime we can get plus money with Diamondbacks we take it. Diamondbacks to win.

Pick Made: Aug 25, 2:06 am UTC on FanDuel

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Arizona Diamondbacks
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Eduardo Rodriguez
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Justin Martinez
ShoulderIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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RP
A.J. Puk
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Apr 30, 2025
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SP
Brandon Bielak
UndisclosedIl
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
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SP
Blake Walston
ElbowIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
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SP
Jordan Montgomery
ElbowIl
Boston Red Sox
Sunday, May 18, 2025
Avatar
C
Seby Zavala
ObliqueIl
Avatar
RP
Hobie Harris
ShoulderIl
Avatar
2B
Tyler McDonough
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 17, 2025
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1B
Romy Gonzalez
BackIl
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kutter Crawford
KneeIl
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DH
Masataka Yoshida
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Richard Fitts
PectoralIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
Avatar
SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowIl
Saturday, May 10, 2025
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SP
Walker Buehler
ShoulderIl
Thursday, May 08, 2025
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1B
Triston Casas
KneeIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
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RP
Chris Murphy
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Jovani Moran
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Zach Penrod
ElbowIl
Monday, Feb 17, 2025
Avatar
SP
Patrick Sandoval
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
57%
75-56, +1016
67-62, -68
51%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
55%
38-30, +1054
29-35, -1105
45%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
33-32, +671
33-28, -498
54%
When Line was -103 to +127
MONEY LINE
When Line was -147 to -117
60%
24-16, +1062
16-17, -483
48%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
55%
26-21, +1055
19-23, -966
45%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
54%
24-20, +253
28-35, -599
44%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
59%
49-34, +489
40-30, +329
57%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
60%
57-37, +1380
53-38, +1098
58%
vs BOS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ARI
100%
3-0, +325
0-3, -300
0%
when Merrill Kelly starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Tanner Houck starts
57%
4-3, +18
13-13, -344
50%
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