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Thu, Jul 116:10 pm UTCAmerican Family Field
75 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Pittsburgh
Pirates
PIT
Last 5 ML
W/L76-86
ATS86-75
O/U77-81-4
FINAL SCORE
1
-
0
Milwaukee
Brewers
MIL
Last 5 ML
W/L93-69
ATS84-76
O/U81-69-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
76-86
Win /Loss
93-69
86-75
Spread
84-76
77-81-4
Over / Under
81-69-12
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
PIT @ MIL
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MONEYLINE
PIT @ MIL
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OVER / UNDER
PIT @ MIL
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80%
PUBLIC
20%
MONEY
54%
PUBLIC
46%
MONEY
Over99%
PUBLIC
Under1%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Over / UnderUnder 7.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+1919
56-33-3 in Last 92 MLB O/U Picks
+300
4-1 in Last 5 MIL O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The next time Paul Skenes pitches in a game after today will likely be in Arlington for Tuesday's All-Star Game, where we are quite sure he will be featured for at least an inning. Skenes has proven as good as advertised with his 2.12 ERA thru ten starts, and now he's working into the 8th inning in recent outings. Opponent scorelines are telling; Skenes has only allowed five runs across his last five starts, but the flip side is the Pirates' offense, save for a couple of unexpected explosions in recent weeks, remains decidedly pedestrian. Milwaukee's recently-added Aaron Civale likely hands off a close, low-scoring game to his bullpen, and another Skenes-influenced scoreline stays low this afternoon in Brew Town. Play Pirates-Brewers "Under"

Pick Made: Jul 11, 4:39 pm UTC on Bet365NewJersey
First 5 Innings - SpreadFirst 5 Innings Pittsburgh -0.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
Micah's Analysis:

Milwaukee is 23 and 7 in their last 30 games at home after a 5-7 start. They go for their 10th series win at home but they have Paul Skenes in the way. Skenes, a rookie, is going to the All-Star game for good reason. He's got 11.8 strikeouts per 9 innings. The mismatch here is the pitcher for the Brewers, Aaron Civale, who gives up a ton of runs against Skenes who doesn't give up anything. Pirates win first five.

Pick Made: Jul 11, 4:32 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Earned RunsPaul Skenes Under 1.5 Total Earned Runs +118
WIN
Unit1.0
Matt's Analysis:

Paul Skenes has a 2.12 ERA and has only allowed one or zero earned runs in six of his last nine starts. The Brewers have never seen him and for someone with this kind of sick stuff that means a very difficult situation. Plus, he's gone over 100 pitches in back-to-back games and it's possible the Pirates will want to keep his workload down in this one. That means something like five innings and not enough times for the Brewers to get to him. I'm expecting zero runs allowed.

Pick Made: Jul 11, 4:10 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Avatar
Total Pitcher OutsPaul Skenes Over 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs -152
WIN
Unit0.5
+1620.75
112-53 in Last 165 MLB Player Props Picks
Matt's Analysis:

The amazing Paul Skenes has gone at least six in eight of his 10 outings so far and is 2-0 with a 1.11 ERA in four road starts. No weather concerns in Milwaukee and the Brewers haven't seen him. That the AS break is upcoming -- and if Skenes dominates here, he might start for the NL -- in theory should allow Skenes to throw a few more pitches than normal.

Pick Made: Jul 11, 12:54 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LinePittsburgh -132
WIN
Unit1.0
+365
9-6 in Last 15 MLB Picks
+352
15-13 in Last 28 MLB ML Picks
+461
8-3 in Last 11 PIT ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

It's hard not to bac Paul Skenes, who has taken the league by storm since his promotion from AAA. The Pirates are 7-3 when he starts and 3-1 on the road. Getting out of his home bandbox is huge for Skenes, who does struggle with the longball there but the rate plummets on the road. His road ERA is 1.11, opponents bat .169 off him and his WHIP Is 0.74. During the day, his stuff should play up, especially that that splunker. Aaron Civale had a lost season for the Rays and while the NL has treated him a little kinder thus far, he still leaves much to be desired. I'm not going RL here because the Bucs didn't hit him much in earlier start.

Pick Made: Jul 10, 9:20 pm UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Pittsburgh Pirates
Sunday, May 18, 2025
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SP
Jared Jones
ElbowIl
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CF
Jase Bowen
UndisclosedIl
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P
Derek Diamond
UndisclosedIl
Thursday, May 15, 2025
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3B
Malcom Nunez
UndisclosedIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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1B
Enmanuel Valdez
ShoulderIl
Saturday, May 10, 2025
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1B
Endy Rodriguez
FingerIl
Wednesday, May 07, 2025
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2B
Nick Gonzales
AnkleIl
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P
Cristofer Melendez
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 03, 2025
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RP
Justin Lawrence
ElbowIl
Thursday, Apr 24, 2025
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RP
Tim Mayza
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Apr 17, 2025
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RP
Dauri Moreta
ElbowIl
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
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SP
Carlson Reed
BackIl
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
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SP
Johan Oviedo
LatIl
Milwaukee Brewers
Sunday, May 18, 2025
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SP
Brandon Woodruff
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SP
Aaron Civale
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RP
Connor Thomas
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SS
Eric Brown
UndisclosedIl
Saturday, May 17, 2025
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RF
Blake Perkins
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RP
DL Hall
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P
Blake Holub
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SP
Tyler Woessner
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RF
Luis Castillo
UndisclosedIl
Friday, May 16, 2025
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SS
Ethan Murray
UndisclosedIl
Wednesday, May 14, 2025
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SP
Jose Quintana
ShoulderIl
Monday, May 12, 2025
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CF
Garrett Mitchell
ObliqueIl
Tuesday, May 06, 2025
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SP
Aaron Ashby
ObliqueIl
Monday, Apr 21, 2025
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SP
Nestor Cortes
ElbowIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
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RP
Thomas Pannone
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RP
J.B. Bukauskas
LatIl
Wednesday, Feb 12, 2025
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SP
Robert Gasser
ElbowIl
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