Blake Snell owns a 7.71 home ERA. He’s allowed at least three runs in in all six starts this season. Yusei Kikuchi owns a 4.00 road ERA. He’s allowed a combined 9 runs in his last three road starts. San Francisco is hitting .328 with a .901 OPS against lefties over the last month while the Blue Jays have struggled, hitting .164 with a .421 OPS but have a favorable matchup against Snell as three of their last four road game have gone over the total.

Blake Snell (groin) is back in the majors after another stint on the injured list. The Blue Jays' strikeout rate has been increasing lately, and I love Snell to record at least five strikeouts. He's gone Over this number in his past three outings at the major-league level. And in his final rehab start in AAA, he fanned nine batters in five hitless innings.

Yusei Kikuchi has given up 46 hits and 12 walks in just 36 innings on the road. On Tuesday he faces a Giants lineup that ranks ninth in OPS (.752) against southpaws. San Fran starter Blake Snell, in his latest AAA rehab start, struck out nine in five hitless innings. Look for Snell to look more like himself than he did in his previous starts with the Giants and for San Fran to improve to 26-19 at home.

This hardly shapes up as a pitching duel tonight at Oracle Park, so we feint incredulity at this "total" of 7.5 runs. Neither of these starting pitchers has impressed, which is to say the least regarding SF's Blake Snell, as Giants fans hope the groin strain that has shelved him for the past month was the reason for his 9.51 ERA this season. Yusei Kikuchi has not been not much better on the Toronto side, especially his last eight starts in which he has posted a 6.50 ERA. Clearing 7.5 runs looks very likely in this matchup by the Bay Bridge tonight. Play Blue Jays-Giants "Over"