Guaranteed Rate Field will be a more pitching-friendly environment today with temperatures in the the mid-60s and humidity dropping to 52% at first pitch. Garrett Crochet has been the best pitcher in baseball in xBA, xSLG, xwOBA and xERA. Against lefties, the Rockies' wOBA drops from .346 (fifth in Majors) at home to .288 (24th) away from Coors Field. The White Sox hit .277 wOBA at home against lefties.

We have not often said "go with the White Sox on the run line" this season but are making an exception against what might be an even more-woeful Rockies team. It was easy to come to that conclusion after Chicago bossed the first two games of this weekend set by a combined 16-6, part of its three-game winning streak, and with ace Garrett Crochet (1.66 ERA since the start of May) on the mound as it goes for the sweep. I'm reluctant to back Colorado with Kyle Freeland making only his second start since being activated and posting a 9.55 ERA this season.