Toronto Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt and Brewers starter Tobias Myers are coming off nearly identical starts statistically. Both went eight innings strong for their longest outings of the season. It’s an outing that Myers can build off of and shake the inconsistencies we have seen, especially at home with a 6.75 ERA. Take the rookie pitcher to outdoes the veteran in Chris Bassitt.

This seems like a game that should go over. Tobias Myers owns a 6.75 home ERA but has pitched well of late and comes off a strong eight inning shutout game against Detroit. The Blue Jays offense has been struggling, hitting .216 with a .622 OPS over its last seven days. While Milwaukee’s offense has been averaging 1.67 runs over its last three games. Chris Bassitt hasn’t allowed more than two runs in his last four road starts.

I'll buy this up to 9.5 to avoid the push, but I'm not totally sure why this rose from an open of 8.5. Jays starter Chris Bassitt has allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven straight and has not allowed a run in 14 career innings vs. the Brewers, although he hasn't seen them since 2022. No current players have great splits off him. Milwaukee's Tobias Myers comes off the best start of his career, eight shutout innings vs. Detroit. Myers is not that guy, but we'll take three earned over six and then I think we win barring one of the bullpens blowing it. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is not in the Toronto lineup, which helps some.

We are 2-for-2 on Under 1.5 hits props this week. This is interesting because Bichette had two hits last night, his third two-hit game in the past five. But he's also batting .214 this month and .240 overall in a disappointing season. So Bichette is basically all-or-nothing. What I like about playing these is it focuses me on the first inning as if the guy I'm fading doesn't get a hit in that first at-bat (assuming gets up), then I feel great about winning and can turn my attention elsewhere. Guess that's how people feel about NRFI but we don't have that option yet. BTW, the one game we didn't fade the White Sox's Martin Maldonado last night, he got a hit! Hilarious.