The Minnesota Twins have been held without a run in the first two games against the Pittsburgh Pirates. Sunday, they will face rookie Jared Jones of the Pirates who has one weakness in day games. In four day game starts he is 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA. Take the Twins to end their road trip on a positive note.

This is correlated to our other play in this game, and I'd consider throwing both plus Over 15.5 outs into an SGP if you're getting at least +200 on it. Bailey Ober has struggled over his last four starts, but three have come against top-tier offenses and all were against teams that rank in the top eight of fewest strikeouts per game. Today he's up against a Pirates team that's fourth-worst in Ks per game at 9.63 and that owns just an 84 OPS+ against righties. I think it's worth playing both his Over 5.5 Ks and Under 2.5 earned runs if you're getting less than -110 on them like we are at Caesars.

Bailey Ober has struggled over his last four starts, but three have come against top-tier offenses and all were against teams that rank in the top eight of fewest strikeouts per game. Today he's up against a Pirates team that's fourth-worst in Ks per game at 9.63 and that owns just an 84 OPS+ against righties. I think it's worth playing both his Over 5.5 Ks and Under 2.5 earned runs if you're getting less than -110 on them like we are at Caesars.

We have been fading Bailey Ober quite a bit on the road and this smaller park will be a problem for him. Ober has a 5.50 ERA on the road, and Jones has a 1.95 ERA at home, with a WHIP of just 1 and allowing a .200 BA. PIT playing good ball at home, as they took 2 of 3 from Dodgers and 2 of 3 from the Braves and the Twinkies have yet to score in this series so far.