Ranger Suarez left his last start with a thumb injury and wasn't able to throw his normal bullpen session, and there's a possibility he's not 100% or reaggravates the injury today. And even if he doesn't, I'm not sure the Phillies ask for more than five innings from him considering his disrupted between-starts routine and the fact that the bullpen is fully available after two days off with another off-day Monday due to the London Series. The Mets are also above average against lefties (111 OPS+), so another way to cash would be Suarez just getting knocked around early in the game. I thought this number would be 15.5 flat due to all the factors above.

The Phillies and Mets are set to play a brief two game set in London, England. Ranger Suarez has been nearly flawless for the Phillies this season and has eclipsed this line in 9/12 starts this season, which include the season opener where he wasn't fully stretched out and his last start where he only lasted 2 IP after being hit in the left hand by a comebacker. Ranger will be pitching without restrictions and this line has typically been between 17.5 and 18.5 for the majority of his starts.

So balls went flying all over jolly Londtowne last time we played MLB ball there. It's a weird, quirky game, obviously, but we have been riding the Phils quite a bit, and they have better thump and power than the struggling Mets. Big stage, I expect the better team to put on a show. I bet Bryce Harper does something big. Ranger Suarez gives PHI a considerable pitching advantage over the Mets. Phils are 11-1 when Suarez starts, winning every outing except for his first of the season by at least 2 runs and with a +51 run differential over his 12 starts. Betts pitcher will be a big bonus is a quirky ballpark