I’ll continue to fade the Kansas City Royals amidst their worst stretch this season. They have lost five of their last six games, including yesterday’s home opener to the Padres 11 to 8. With Joe Musgrave missing this start for Randy Vasquez the Padres may get down early. Still look for their bats to break through as they scored nine runs yesterday against the Royals bullpen. Take San Diego as the underdogs.

San Diego is 18-10 on the road this season. They took the first game of the series with their ace on the hill, but now are handing the ball to Randy Vasquez, owning a 5.82 ERA in his last seven games. The Royals have won three of their last four games following a home loss and still lead in the league in batting at home, hitting .277 with a .798 OPS.

I believe the wrong team is favored, simple as that. Padres starter Joe Musgrove is rounding into form but still has an ERA near 7.00 on the road. Counterpart Alec Marsh is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA at home. He's probably going to turn into a pumpkin soon but ideally not today. And we don't have to care who wins. Note: Musgrove has been scratched but in this case I didn't do listed pitchers (sometimes I do, sometimes I don't) and I'm more than fine with the change to Randy Vasquez.