Everyone loves flamethrowers that strikeout lots of batters: it's fun to watch, and even more fun to bet on. But I'm going to show love for a lower strikeout prop here... Ross Stripling's floor for strikeouts has been around three in each start (even going back to spring training), and through three starts, Stripling has ended with six, three and five K's in each. The underlying numbers don't speak of a guy that's going to strikeout a whole bunch of batters, and I don't love backing these types of guys to go over a strikeout total, but "value is value" and I think over 3.5 K's should be -175/-180 instead of the -137 we're getting. Over 4.5 K's is not of much interest.

Ross Stripling moved 10 miles from pitching for the Giants and to now pitching A's. Stripling's raw numbers are nearly identical to last season where he was a subpar starter for the majority of the season. There is an argument to be made hes even performed above expectations considering his SwStrk% is down from 10.3% to just 7.7%, in addition to posting a contact% of 83.8%, both numbers are career worst marks. Stripling will face a Saint Louis Cardinals lineup which so far has been mediocre but believe they are a positive regression candidate. The Cardinals projected lineup has had excellent historical results against Stripling who I think will have a hard time making it past 5 IP.