First true road start of the season for Yu Darvish and his road ERA last year was 4.80. Most of the Dodgers batters are very familiar with him, while the Padres can't really say the same about big LA lefty James Paxton. He has allowed only two runs so far over 11 innings. The Dodgers are 11-5 in the past 16 at home in the series.

Yu Darvish has failed to throw more than 82 pitches in any of his four starts this year and his first start came against this same Dodgers lineup, when he was pulled before completing the 4th inning. Darvish has been hit hard better than half the time so far, with an expected ERA near five and he's missed covering this line in 3/4 starts. With the offensive potential of this Dodgers lineup, and the pitch counts for Darvish so far, I think under 16.5 outs is the play here.

Freeman is a doubles machine and it only a matter of time before his process starts yielding better results. But national TV game vs a division rival with a quality starter he sees very well seems like a great time to get it going to me. This is a great price considering how much he tops this (how much he tops it in first AB, frankly). Even with his slugging starts he's still batting above .300 with an OPS above .800. Plenty of hard hit balls in his profile vs Darvish, a few HRs and doubles and multi-hit games. I'll bite on him breaking out tonight

Blame it on the weather, as it was cold, damp, and rainy in LA on Saturday night, delaying the start of the game by nearly two hours, with both offenses starting understandably cold. That was the backdrop for the Dodgers' first "under" after seven straight "overs" at Chavez Ravine, though the Blue did manage to score at least five runs for the ninth straight time at home. LA now faces SD's Yu Darvish, off a couple of bumpy outings in which he allowed 7 ER across 10 IP, while Dave Roberts won't be able to count upon much more than five innings from James Paxton (and his 1.64 ERA ). Play Padres-Dodgers "Over"