This is equal part fade of Trevor Rogers as it is backing the Atlanta bats to get after him. Rogers has only started six games the past two seasons but and has only eclipsed this outs prop once. The lefty is facing a lethal Atlanta lineup that finished last season first in OPS against opposing southpaws and wOBA by a significant margin. I think the Braves get after him early and often and he is unlikely to appear in the sixth inning. Make sure to shop around on this prop, you are likely to find less juice elsewhere.

The Braves are looking to pick up the pieces after getting pounded by the Mets yesterday, and one player who has yet to quite get going is reigning MVP Ronald Acuna, who has a .632 OPS and no homers. Despite that, he's still managed to record at least two total bases in six of his 11 games, and this is a great matchup to get on track against lefty Trevor Rogers. Acuna has dominated Marlins pitching at loanDepot Park, posting a career .340/.435/.603 line in Miami, and this is a great spot for him to either hit his first homer of the year or post a multihit game.

Love this bounce back spot for Max Fried, who is far better than his early numbers show. This Marlins lineup has all kinds of holes and I expect the top of the Braves order to do some damage against Trevor Rodgers and get into that brutal bullpen. Braves are scuffling so we are getting this priced better than expected. As I write this, MIA -30 run differential worst in NL. Braves bats too good to be held down.