Nestor Cortes hasn't been particularly good yet for the Yanks, but this price is still about 25 cents short in my opinion. The bullpen is in good shape behind the Miami native. Marlins lefty Jesus Luzardo tends to struggle away from home. The Fish have lost seven straight vs. AL teams. Jazz Chisholm is out of the lineup today.

I love this particular matchup to take a swing at a juicy prop. In his first at-bat in Yankees Stadium last season, Jake Burger homered off Luis Severino, a righty. He now gets to face Nestor Cortes, a lefty who gave up 11 homers in 12 starts last year and has been hittable in two starts this year, and the game is in a park that’s the fourth most home-run friendly to right-handed hitters, per Statcast. With Burger excelling against lefties last year, homering once per 11.5 at-bats roughly, I like him to get one over the fence in 2-3 plate appearances against Cortes.