Let’s get this story started. Zac Gallen was beaten by Philadelphia twice as he allowed nine runs between the two losses but he also won at Milwaukee and the Dodgers on the road. Arizona went 9-12 behind Gallen on the road. Four of his last five stayed Under. The home team didn’t win any of the seven games in the ALCS and all three in Texas went Over. I think Arizona takes advantage of the Rangers in the bullpen. Arizona was 3-1 against the Rangers this season. The Over kicks it off.

Game 1 of the World Series brings a great pitching matchup between Zac Gallen and Nathan Eovaldi. Gallen did not have a good series against the Phillies, though, allowing nine runs and five home runs over 11 innings. Eovaldi has been outstanding, allowing seven runs and recording 28 strikeouts over 26 innings in the playoffs. Over 69 career postseason innings, he has a 2.87 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. Add that to this game being played in Texas and the Rangers have the edge to earn the victory.

Just when think I have this MLB betting thing slightly figured out, the Diamondbacks win the final two games of the NLCS on the road and so do the Rangers in the ALCS. I was "taught" that home field advantage matters. I'd like to stop taking home favorites, but Zac Gallen wasn't good on the road in the regular season and has a 5.24 ERA in four playoff starts. Nate Eovaldi was trash in September for Texas and has dominated in the playoffs against much better competition. The Rangers were 19 games over .500 at home in the RS and the Snakes one game over on the road. So logic (haha) says Texas and I can't unlearn MLB betting habits at this point.