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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Boy, was I way wrong about Game 6. I thought it was going to be an easy Phillies win with Citizens Bank Park just being party central. I'll say it was just delayed by a day. Ranger Suarez is outstanding in the playoffs and the Phillies' good relievers are rested. D-backs starter Brandon Pfaadt was amazing in Game 3, but I like the quick turnaround here for the Phillies offense, especially getting him at home this time after having not scored much in Game 6. Things even out. Phillies party time. I'll say they win by multiple runs to get the better odds on the rune line (-1.5, +118).
Game Sevens don't all turn out the way last night's ALCS did in Houston; often, they become taut affairs with runs at a premium. Especially as managers are not going to wait around with their pitchers if they aren't as sharp as needed. Though, for what it's worth, both Brandon Pfaat and Ranger Suarez have been very sharp in the postseason and have been able to consistently hold the opposition in check until the middle innings, and Arizona has scored runs only in brief spurts in this series. Expect this to be one of those Game Sevens where runs are at a bit of a premium. Play Diamondbacks-Phillies Under
It’s Game 7, which means just about everything is on the table. This is a matchup between Brandon Pfaadt and Ranger Suarez, but both could be pulled quickly at the first sign of trouble. Zac Gallen and Zack Wheeler could make appearances out of the bullpen if necessary. Prior to their loss Monday, the Phillies were 6-0 at home during the playoffs. They have a proven veteran group and the advantage of playing at home, so I’ll ride with the Phillies to advance to the World Series.
Phillies feeling the pressure? Brandon Pfaadt becomes that playoff rookie we’ve all seen before – Stupor, Boddicker, Lackey, Hernandez, Bumgarner, Wainwright, Wacha – as Arizona has won his last four starts, three of them not allowing a run. I don’t see any reason to believe the Phillies will hit him, adding mounting pressure. Ranger Suarez didn’t allow a run in his last start, a 2-1 loss at Arizona, as the Phillies had won five straight before the loss. I’m on the Under as the top bet.
Home field didn't matter at all Monday with neither home team even leading. When the road team jumps out to an early edge, that changes the dynamic but I can't fathom the Phillies losing again in front of that crazy crowd much as I'd personally enjoy it. Ranger Suarez has allowed just one run in 14 playoff innings. Arizona rookie Brandon Pfaadt has been excellent in his past two outings at home but lasted only 2.2 innings in his lone road playoff start. Then again, the starters won't matter much because everyone will be available for the most part other than Merrill Kelly and Aaron Nola. If Zack Wheeler can give the Phils an inning or two, that could be huge.