The Phils are performing like a force of nature, with 12 homers strewn across their last three home playoff games--all wins. Contributions are coming from everywhere in the lineup, and just like Zac Gallen found out last night, there is nowhere for Merrill Kelly to pitch around. The key for Philly will again be if Aaron Nola continues his recent solid work on the mound; he's 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in the postseason, and a 1.78 ERA across his last four starts. Play Phillies on Run Line

Both starting pitchers enter in excellent form, but I have to lay it given their home-road splits and the Phillies' massive homefield advantage. Philadelphia has won 10 straight home playoff games versus NL opponents. The Phillies' pen continues to excel, along with Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, Nick Castellanos and others in this deep lineup.

I'd actually like to pick Arizona and stop with all these favorites and while I do think the Snakes have a much better chance of winning tonight than they did Monday, I simply can't find a reason NOT to take the Phillies at home. Aaron Nola has been about as good as Zack Wheeler of late and Bryce Harper is rolling. Those warm-weather Arizona bats didn't much like that fall Philly chill most of Monday, and I expect more of the same here. Not sure I will play the total again, though. Books sure know what they are doing on those as we lost both by a half-run yesterday.

The Phillies used three home runs to power themselves to a win in Game 1. Their lineup is locked in with Bryce Harper, Trea Turner and Nick Castellanos all performing well in the playoffs. Even the slumping Kyle Schwarber came through with a home run Monday. They have the potential to score in bunches when they face Merrill Kelly, who had a 4.07 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP on the road this season. On the other side, the Diamondbacks could be in trouble against Aaron Nola, who has allowed a total of two runs over his two playoff starts. Add in their significant advantage at home and the Phillies are in a prime spot to win Game 2.