The Orioles have a .950 OPS in 106 at-bats against Yusei Kikuchi this season. Baltimore is 30-14 against left-handed pitchers and rank eighth in OPS (.769) against lefties. The Blue Jays are 11-23 against the AL East, whereas Baltimore is 24-14 in division games this year. Grayson Rodriguez has been showing consistent improvement every month. Keep an eye on Ryan Mountcastle, who has an impressive .583 batting average with four home runs and eight RBI in 12 career at-bats against Kikuchi. I'm on the home team.

Yusei Kikuchi has been the most consistent Blue Jays starter with the squad going 16-8 behind him. His profit margin is +7.10. But I have Grayson Rodriguez who lost to Kikuchi 20 days ago, 4-1. It was his third start back after being sent down. He’s allowed only eight runs in his five starts back. The Orioles are 8-2 against Toronto this season. Orioles to win.

Both the oddsmakers and the public are still hesitant to anoint Baltimore as an elite team. They continue to not receive enough credit despite possessing the best record in the AL and second best record in the majors. Grayson Rodriguez has been very good over his last four starts. Blue Jays starter Yusei Kikuchi has also been solid but Baltimore is very familiar with him having faced the Orioles 3x this season and 11 times lifetime. I'll take the home team and we're getting a great price.

The Orioles are 8-2 against the Blue Jays this season with a +29 run differential. Plus, they are the better team and the price isn't steep. The numbers might look scary on O's starter Grayson Rodriguez, but he's been very good since coming back up from the minors and has a 2.35 ERA in his last five outings. Yusei Kikuchi presents a tough pitching matchup for the Orioles, but I have faith in their ability to grind out the W behind Rodriguez and a rested bullpen.