Tuesday's lineup for the Reds consists of seven right-handed batters, with one switch hitter. Braxton Garrett has a strong record against left-handed batters, allowing only a .230 batting average compared to .279 against righties. However, his hard-hit rate is relatively high at 43%. It's worth noting that the Reds have an impressive .844 OPS against left-handed pitchers. Based on this information, the Reds are a good choice for the run line, which should be closer to -135.

Have to do it at this price even though I'm almost positive Reds pitcher Luke Weaver is going to give up a crooked number of runs because he always does. Yet the Reds usually bail him out. Miami's Braxton Garrett already has pitched a career high in innings and might be hitting a wall as he has completed six innings just once in his last seven starts, posting a 5.24 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in that stretch. Garrett is 0-2 with a 4.60 ERA in three career starts against Cincinnati. Miami has lost five straight, is 5-17 since the All-Star break and 1-14 in its last 15 road games. And I don't even need a Cincy win.